Jordan LoveA practical starting point for your Black /10.
2026 Topps Flagship · Touchdown Machines
INDEPENDENT REFERENCE · DIFFERENT 03/10 COPY
Different copy 03/10 · submitted card is 08/10 · listing glare remains
Black /10#TM-42Raw / ungraded; condition not authenticated
HALOVAULT EVIDENCE REVIEW
Start with the $100 offer
Negotiation lead · not a verified valuation
A collector offered $100 in the original discussion. If selling, first confirm that the offer is genuine and still available, then agree whether shipping and fees are included. It is an unaccepted offer, not a completed sale or guaranteed minimum.
Use the $100 offer as a conversation starter, then seek a few offers before accepting. If you are not in a rush, watch the independent 03/10 auction finish for stronger evidence. Neither the offer nor the Gold /50 asking price establishes market value.
No matching Raw / ungraded; condition not authenticated transaction was verified in this research pass. Different grades or printings can inform research, but do not establish an exact-card sold price.
List the exact title: 2026 Topps Flagship Jordan Love Touchdown Machines Black TM-42 /10. Show clear front and back photos and the 08/10 serial. Confirm the existing $100 offer and clarify shipping and fees; gather a few offers before accepting. If you are unwilling to accept a low auction result, use a fixed-price listing with Best Offer instead of a low starting auction. If time allows, watch the exact 03/10 auction close before deciding.
FOLLOW THE EVIDENCE
The comps behind the answer.
0 matching records
High confidence in card identification; insufficient completed-transaction evidence for a numeric valuation. The $100 community offer is a practical negotiation lead whose availability and terms require confirmation. It is not a market floor. This bounded review does not prove the card has never sold.
Related evidence · comparison only
Observed September 25, 2026. Opening bids and asking prices can change and do not establish what a buyer has paid.
CONTEXT ONLY · Unaccepted discussion offer · subject 08/10
$100 community offer
A collector offered $100 in the original discussion. Acceptance, payment and continued availability are unverified. Confirm the offer directly and clarify shipping and fees. This is a negotiation lead, not a completed sale, valuation or guaranteed minimum.
Market evidence
CONTEXT ONLY · Checklist identity evidence
TM-42 Black /10
Checklist identifies Jordan Love Touchdown Machines Black TM-42, serial numbered to 10. The submitted back and serial confirm the insert and edition.
Market evidence
CONTEXT ONLY · Raw Black /10 · active auction
CHF1 opening · 0 bids
Independent exact-parallel copy 03/10. This is an active zero-bid auction opening, not a completed sale, estimate or price floor. Seller calls it Green; checklist identifies the /10 parallel as Black. No currency conversion is used.
Market evidence
CONTEXT ONLY · Raw Gold /50 · different parallel
US$99 ask · Gold /50
Different parallel: Gold 4/50, listed at US$99 or Best Offer with zero bids, plus US$5.58 shipping. No accepted offer or completed transaction was verified. This does not establish a Black /10 floor or rarity premium.
Market evidence
CONTEXT ONLY · Manufacturer category odds · not pricing
1:144,509 Hobby packs
Official Touchdown Machines Black category odds. This covers all players in the category, not Jordan Love alone. Product formats have different published odds.
Market evidence
The submitted front is numbered 08/10; its back names Touchdown Machines TM-42 and Jordan Love. The public reference is an independent listing copy, 03/10, cropped to the card area. It is not the submitted physical card.
What was included and excluded?
2025 Chrome, Finest, Resurgence and base #76 cards are different products. Gold /50, Green /99 and Blue /150 are different parallels. No unsupported rarity multiplier, serial-number premium, grade outcome or future-price forecast is applied.
THE CHASE, EXPLAINED
How tough is this pull?
Published rates apply to the entire Touchdown Machines Black category across all players. They are not Jordan Love-specific odds. Pack format matters; the calculator is a hypothetical independent-pack model, not a hit guarantee.
PUBLISHED ODDS · PER PACK
1 in144509
packs, not boxes · any card in Touchdown Machines Black
Hobby1:144509 per packPer-box conversion not established
Jumbo1:48170 per packPer-box conversion not established
Hanger1:18064 per packPer-box conversion not established
Fat1:36128 per packPer-box conversion not established
Value1:72255 per packPer-box conversion not established
Mega1:72255 per packPer-box conversion not established
Explore the probability
Mathematical model
Recorded box configuration. An edited count is your scenario, not a manufacturer claim.
0.01%chance of at least one category hit in 20packs
1 pack500 packs
Model: 1 − (1 − 1/N)packs. N is the published per-pack denominator. In box mode, packs = boxes × packs per box. Assumes independent random packs and Topps’ rounded rates; actual collation can differ. Buying N packs does not guarantee a hit.
Product information reviewed September 25, 2026. Black /10 is this card's edition size. Edition size and category pack odds do not establish its market value or permit a reliable player-specific pull rate.
SMALL DETAILS. DIFFERENT CARDS.
Make sure it’s this one.
The requester back resolves TM-42 Touchdown Machines. The 2026 Topps Flagship checklist identifies Black /10. The independent 03/10 listing uses Green in its title, but its serial and matching design corroborate the checklist identification. The submitted card is raw; photographs do not authenticate condition.
Player
Jordan Love
Team
Green Bay Packers
Set
2026 Topps Flagship
Card number
#TM-42
Parallel
Black
Print run
10 copies
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