THE COLLECTOR FILE / CARD & COMPS

Sal StewartBefore you grade, run the numbers.

2026 Bowman Under the Radar · Rookie autograph

Public reference copy 017/150; not the submitted card
Autograph /150#UR-11Raw / ungraded

1 VERIFIED RAW AUCTION · GRADING WHAT-IF

$53.00

An exact raw autograph copy, 006/150, sold at auction for $53 on June 25, 2026. One historical result gives a reference point, not a current value range. No matching graded sale was verified, so a grading premium remains unproven.

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THE NUMBERS, IN FOCUS

A closer look at the market.

RESEARCH SNAPSHOT
01sale

Verified matching raw auction

22bids

On the observed auction

150copies

Numbered autograph edition

00sales

Matching graded sales verified

Matching sale prices

USD · Raw / ungraded

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$0.00$13.25$26.50$39.75$53.00
Latest record · $53.00
Jun 25, 2026 · UR-11 autograph · 006/150 · raw · 22 bids

Observed prices. This sample does not establish a reliable trend.

Read the signal

1 observation

22 bids. One raw result.

The photo shows reference copy 017/150. The $53 auction was copy 006/150. They share the printing, but neither photograph establishes the grade of the card submitted for review.

FOLLOW THE EVIDENCE

The comps behind the answer.

1 matching record

The original market evidence listing and card front were inspected: SOLD, $53.00, 22 bids and a visible 006/150 serial. This is one observed raw sale. No graded transaction was verified in this research pass.

REPORTED SOLD · MATCHING
$53.00

UR-11 autograph · 006/150 · raw · 22 bids

Ungraded; seller described near mint or better

market evidence's auction ended June 25, 2026 at 18:19:34 PDT. The $53 amount is the item price; displayed $4.99 shipping and any tax are excluded. Payment completion and physical condition were not independently verified. A secondary index dates the same listing June 26; it is one transaction, not two.

What was included and excluded?

Non-autograph Mini-Diamond /150 copies, active asks, mystery-slab bundles and unverified accepted-offer amounts are excluded. Price-guide estimates for graded copies are not sold comps and do not establish a grading premium.

THE GRADING DECISION

Before you grade, run the numbers.

EDITABLE WHAT-IF

The starting $53 is a verified June 2026 raw auction reference, not a guaranteed sale price for your copy. The $100 graded sale, $30 incremental all-in grading costs and 13% selling fee are editable examples, not a graded comp, forecast or current fee quote. No matching graded sale was verified, and the forum photo is insufficient to assess a grade. This calculator does not predict a grade, a sale price or the chance of a grading outcome.

Your assumptions

Compare selling this card raw with grading it first

What you assume you could sell the raw card for, before fees.

Include grading, shipping, insurance and other added costs. This is not a fee quote.

The same selling fee percentage applies to both alternatives.

An editable scenario, not a verified graded comp or an expected selling price.

See the calculation

Raw net = raw gross × (1 − fee). Graded net = graded gross × (1 − fee) − added grading costs. Break-even graded gross = raw gross + added costs ÷ (1 − fee), rounded up to the next cent.

Fee is entered as a percentage. This comparison excludes the shared purchase cost of the card. Add every incremental grading cost above; other taxes and costs are not modeled.

Where grading breaks even

USD · your scenario

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A higher grade is not guaranteed. A card’s condition and matching graded sales still matter.

THE CHASE, EXPLAINED

How tough is this pull?

These are Topps' published rates for any Under the Radar autograph across the category. Sal Stewart-specific pull odds are not published here. The three product columns were checked against the original manufacturer PDF.

PUBLISHED ODDS · PER PACK

1 in 5029

packs, not boxes · any card in Under the Radar Autograph

Hobby1:5029 per packPer-box conversion not established
Jumbo1:1253 per packPer-box conversion not established
Breaker Delight1:289 per packPer-box conversion not established

Explore the probability

Mathematical model
0.40%chance of at least one category hit
in 20 packs
100%50%0%
1 pack500 packs

Model: 1 − (1 − 1/N)packs. N is the published per-pack denominator. In box mode, packs = boxes × packs per box. Assumes independent random packs and Topps’ rounded rates; actual collation can differ. Buying N packs does not guarantee a hit.

Product information reviewed September 23, 2026. The /150 stamp describes this card's numbered edition, not a 1-in-150 pack probability. Subject distribution is unverified, so no player-specific odds are inferred. Topps notes that actual contents and odds may vary; pack formats also have different contents and prices.

SMALL DETAILS. DIFFERENT CARDS.

Make sure it’s this one.

Topps lists Sal Stewart in the 2026 Bowman Under the Radar autograph checklist. The matching public reference front shows 017/150, an RC badge and Topps Certified Autograph Issue; its reverse confirms UR-11 and ©2026. The submitted forum photo shows an autograph and the owner reports /150, but its individual serial and condition could not be verified. The green radar artwork does not identify a separate Green parallel. This is an autograph insert in Bowman Baseball, distinct from the non-autograph Mini-Diamond /150.

Player
Sal Stewart
Team
Cincinnati Reds
Set
2026 Bowman
Card number
#UR-11
Parallel
Autograph
Print run
150 copies

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Enlarged Sal Stewart Autograph /150 card photo

Public reference copy 017/150; not the submitted card